Description

This analysis provides a forecast of DOT prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-07-06 2.874245 3.023058 3.179595 3.357258 3.554212 3.766935 4.015521
2025-07-13 2.724982 2.940958 3.179641 3.465840 3.803672 4.195080 4.691151
2025-07-20 2.570760 2.830584 3.129181 3.503898 3.971083 4.548587 5.341794
2025-07-27 2.502748 2.808897 3.174396 3.654734 4.289447 5.133448 6.411660
2025-08-03 2.416468 2.754873 3.171920 3.742325 4.536804 5.670036 7.570768
2025-08-10 2.292257 2.642204 3.083348 3.704662 4.605520 5.965012 8.456929
2025-08-17 2.141885 2.485196 2.923934 3.553121 4.488886 5.954391 8.812723
2025-08-24 2.031980 2.373166 2.815196 3.460850 4.446790 6.053402 9.414753
2025-08-31 1.960287 2.306313 2.761600 3.440798 4.510664 6.340439 10.534662
2025-09-07 1.875140 2.216722 2.670745 3.357637 4.462706 6.418056 11.217775
2025-09-14 1.797064 2.132763 2.582707 3.271425 4.399363 6.454843 11.826056
2025-09-21 1.726193 2.055416 2.499800 3.186811 4.329412 6.466484 12.384387
2025-09-28 1.659742 1.986660 2.432923 3.134002 4.329813 6.666660 13.850001
2025-10-05 1.640165 1.981658 2.457353 3.227010 4.603929 7.540105 18.998835
2025-10-12 1.604204 1.951997 2.444037 3.258705 4.773573 8.257068 25.752654
2025-10-19 1.595522 1.960280 2.487458 3.389113 5.163263 9.759758 49.918061
2025-10-26 1.573280 1.947662 2.497985 3.464382 5.459183 11.232310 142.556039
2025-11-02 1.528290 1.899561 2.450250 3.431196 5.510810 11.941739 795.396111
2025-11-09 1.464937 1.821965 2.352279 3.299073 5.314910 11.617437 1886.139072
2025-11-16 1.416576 1.764983 2.284594 3.218321 5.231086 11.730149 NaN
2025-11-23 1.384700 1.731306 2.252338 3.200655 5.296014 12.530541 NaN
2025-11-30 1.343428 1.682137 2.192978 3.127737 5.214935 12.637764 NaN
2025-12-07 1.303857 1.634345 2.134009 3.051973 5.117911 12.633988 NaN